Appreciable Anticompetitive Effects
More generally, the Advisory Committee recommends that the current notification
thresholds be carefully reviewed to ensure that they are only as broad as necessary to identify
transactions that may cause an appreciable anticompetitive effect. While recognizing that small
transactions are not necessarily competitively benign, the Advisory Committee finds that the
notification thresholds currently employed by the premerger notification regime are too low and
capture too many lawful transactions. The Advisory Committee believes that the United States
will not be well positioned to advocate that other jurisdictions review and revise their own
premerger notification thresholds until it has addressed these same issues in its own system.
Enacted in 1914, the Clayton Act prohibits mergers whose effect "may be substantially to
lessen competition or tend to create a monopoly." The Clayton Act incorporates what has been
characterized as an "incipiency standard," thereby empowering the U.S. antitrust agencies to
prevent potentially anticompetitive mergers before they result in harm to competition. The
premerger notification regime contained in the HSR Act is intended to give the U.S. antitrust
enforcement agencies "an effective mechanism to enjoin illegal mergers before they occur."(95)
With limited exceptions, the HSR Act requires premerger notification for each acquisition of
assets or voting securities that exceeds $15 million (or that results in control of an acquired party
with at least $25 million in sales or assets) in which one party to the transaction has at least $100
million in sales or assets and the other has at least $10 million in sales or assets.(96)
The DOJ and FTC Horizontal Merger Guidelines explain that while challenging
potentially anticompetitive mergers, the U.S. antitrust agencies seek to avoid unnecessary
interference with the larger universe of mergers that is either competitively beneficial or
neutral.(97) As discussed above,
however, only a small percentage of transactions captured by the notification thresholds
currently in place leads to enforcement action. Indeed, no enforcement action is taken against
more than 98 percent of all notified transactions. In addition, the annual level of filings made
with the U.S. antitrust agencies has increased significantly since the HSR Act was enacted. The
Advisory Committee believes that this increased level of filings is attributable not only to
increased merger activity, but also to the failure to adjust the notification thresholds. They have
not been changed since the HSR Act was enacted in 1976.
The most straightforward way to decrease the number of required filings while not
materially compromising the agencies' enforcement mission is to increase the size-of-transaction
threshold for acquisitions of voting securities and assets. Business groups and others have
recommended to the Advisory Committee that the notification thresholds be adjusted to account
for inflation and indexed to account for future inflation.(1) Adjusting for inflation using the
Consumer Price Index, for example, the $15 million size-of-transaction threshold in 1976, if
measured in 1998 dollars, would now be set at approximately $43 million. Increasing the
threshold commensurate with the gross domestic product deflator, an indicator of inflation in the
entire country, translates into an HSR threshold of $37.8 million when measured in 1998
dollars.(2)
The Advisory Committee acknowledges the benefits of this recommendation but notes
that an indexing mechanism may produce arbitrary results. At the same time, the Advisory
Committee recognizes that absent an automatic (that is, mandatory) indexing mechanism, there
may be no incentive to raise the thresholds. If an indexing method is not used, the Advisory
Committee recommends that Congress and the U.S. antitrust agencies review notification
thresholds periodically (at least every four years) to determine whether they should be increased.
Enforcement statistics for 1998 suggest that adjusting the notification thresholds to keep
up with inflation measured in 1998 dollars should not materially compromise the enforcement
mission of the U.S. antitrust agencies. Depending on the base year and deflator used, that
calculation would mean increasing the size-of-transaction threshold in the $33 million to $43
million range.(3) Although data are not publicly available for that range, HSR statistics show that
raising the threshold to $25 million or $50 million would have eliminated approximately 25 to
50 percent of transactions notified in fiscal year 1998.(4)
In 1998 transactions valued below $25 million raised few competitive concerns. In that
year, the agencies received filings on 1,235 transactions valued at $25 million or less. The
agencies issued second requests in only 11 (less than 1 percent) of these transactions. Indeed, in
95 percent of the 1,235 transactions, neither agency sought clearance to even contact the parties.(5)
The filing fees alone in the 1,224 transactions in which no second request was issued, however,
cost the acquiring parties $55.1 million.(6)
Likewise, only 27, or just over 1 percent, of the 2,398 transactions valued at $50 million
or less received second requests. Although second-request investigations represented only a
small percentage of notified transactions valued below $50 million, almost 9 percent of all
investigated transactions involve transactions valued at less than $25 million and approximately
20 percent of all investigations involve transactions valued at less than $50 million, indicating
that some small transactions raise sufficient antitrust concerns to warrant a more complete
investigation.(7)
If a transaction is not captured by the thresholds, however, the agencies have the
authority to investigate and take enforcement action, if needed.(8) For example, in each of the last
two years the DOJ opened more than 50 investigations of transactions that were not reportable
under the HSR Act.(9) Although the agencies contend they have very little ability to detect
nonreportable transactions, the Advisory Committee balances that concern with the recognition
that only a small fraction of transactions that fall below notification thresholds will pose the
threat of competitive harm. Thus, the Advisory Committee concludes that increasing the filing
threshold in the $33 million to $43 million range should not materially affect the quality of
Clayton Act enforcement efforts. Three Advisory Committee members advocate raising the size
of the transaction threshold higher, to $50 million.
Any efforts to revise notification thresholds must account for the fact that filing fees
currently constitute a significant source of revenue for the U.S. antitrust agencies. To ensure
that the DOJ and FTC will be able to pursue their enforcement missions vigorously, it is
imperative to provide alternative sources of funding to offset the loss of any funds that may result
from revision of HSR thresholds. This goal may be accomplished by delinking the fees from the
budget and by direct funding from general revenue. If funds are not directly appropriated,
alternative funds may be realized in a variety of ways, including raising the filing fee, adjusting
the fee based on the size of the transaction, or assessing the fee based on the complexity of the
transaction and the amount of work performed by the reviewing agency, although these
alternatives would not accomplish delinking the fees from the budget.
The existing linkage between filing fees and funding for the DOJ and FTC creates a
conflict of interest for the agencies and also exposes them to substantial funding cuts if filings
were to decrease, as occurred between 1989 and 1991 when filings dropped more than 40
percent.(10) The Advisory Committee is of the view that filing fees should be delinked from
funding for the agencies, but that any efforts to do so must occur in an environment where
sufficient funds are assured from other sources. This step would be beneficial both for the
United States and for those countries around the world that have followed the U.S. lead in
implementing filing fees and have linked them to agency budgets.
Recommendations on Deadlines and Time Frames for Review
The Advisory Committee commends the flexibility of the U.S. premerger notification
system, which permits filing at any time after the execution of a letter of intent, contract,
agreement in principle, or public bid. In addition, the Advisory Committee commends the U.S.
agencies for concluding their initial review in a maximum of 30 days following notification.
Thus, no reform of the U.S. triggering event or initial review period is needed.
More certainty with respect to time frames for the second-stage review process is needed,
however. In the United States, the second-stage review process is triggered when a second
request is issued prior to the expiration of the initial review period. The merging parties may not
consummate the proposed transaction until 20 days (or, in the case of a cash tender offer, 10
days) after they have substantially complied with their respective second requests, which could
take several months.(11) The length of the review process thus varies from case to case.
Because the U.S. agencies issue relatively few second requests -- 113 (less than 3 percent
of all notified transactions) in fiscal year 1999 -- this discussion pertains to only a minority of
all notified transactions. In addition, data submitted to the Advisory Committee by the U.S.
agencies indicate that, on average, second-request investigations are resolved in about four
months (Box 3-D). For transactions in which second requests were issued but in which the DOJ
did not file cases, moreover, the average time to resolution after the issuance of the second
request was only two to three months.(12) It is important to note, however, that some second-stage
reviews may take up to a year or longer.(13)
Although year-long second-stage review periods constitute a distinct minority of all
reviewed transactions, second-stage merger review in the United States is a controversial topic
and therefore deserves the attention of both the Advisory Committee and the U.S. antitrust
agencies. Among the concerns raised about the second-stage review periods, some parties have
suggested the process is
open ended and raise concerns about a lack of certainty about when a transaction may be closed.
Of course, after a party is in substantial compliance, in all mergers involving unregulated
industries (the bulk of all transactions investigated), the agencies are required by statute to
complete that investigation in 20 days. That period can only be extended if the parties choose to
do so.(14)